Editor’s note: Xiaomi’s mobile phone is no longer popular, Lenovo’s mobile phone has been exposed to huge losses, the APP industry is a red sea, and the life cycle of mobile games is getting shorter and shorter… All kinds of signs show that the mobile Internet is fast disappearing. Compared with the “firm” PC Internet for more than ten years, the upsurge of mobile Internet is quite some “come in a hurry, go in a hurry”. Both hardware and software manufacturers are at a loss. How many more mobile phones are left in the market, and where are the new directions in the development of technology? Questions like these are increasingly pressing us.
Giiso Information, founded in 2013, is a leading technology provider in the field of “artificial intelligence + information” in China, with top technologies in big data mining, intelligent semantics, knowledge mapping and other fields. At the same time, its research and development products include editing robots, writing robots and other artificial intelligence products! With its strong technical strength, the company has received angel round investment at the beginning of its establishment, and received pre-A round investment of $5 million from GSR Venture Capital in August 2015.
The greatest difficulty for a leader is to set his own direction.
Not long ago, Ren Zhengfei, founder of Huawei, the leader of the communication industry, said bluntly: “Huawei is gradually entering the industry into no man’s land, in the dilemma of no leader, no established rules and no one to follow… Huawei already feels it has no future and no direction.”
This kind of confusion, is the leader of the required answer, is also a special topic. Compared with Ren zhengfei’s “modest”, li Yanhong directly gave the Internet industry leader answer paper on the baidu Alliance summit, the next act of the Internet is artificial intelligence.
As an Internet company started by technology, Robin Li’s “prediction” at the Baidu Alliance summit over the years is regarded as an indicator of industry trends. However, compared to the previous almost 100% positive energy, Li’s prediction this year, in addition to empowering artificial intelligence, a big gourd ladle cold water poured to the mobile Internet.
The problem is that nearly all entrepreneurs and Internet giants are betting heavily on this, and Baidu is also heavily armed. Take smart phones as an example, new product launches by various manufacturers almost fill journalists’ schedules. Therefore, Robin Li’s “bearish” on mobile Internet shocked the industry no less than Ren Zhengfei’s “confusion”.
The mobile Internet demographic dividend is almost exhausted
In Robin Li’s classification of “plot”, the Internet in China has been divided into two acts so far. The first act is PC Internet, which started in 1994, and the second act is mobile Internet, which started in 2012. However, in li’s eyes, although the mobile Internet scene has just begun, but it is not far from the curtain.
“In just four years from 2012 to now, the growth of mobile Internet is very fast, and each of us may also feel the pressure of it. What is this pressure? The penetration rate of the Internet in China has reached about 50%. If the elderly and children are excluded, most of those who have access to the Internet are already online. Now, the demographic dividend is almost over, everyone who needs a smartphone already has one, and the market is becoming saturated. Now everyone says the market is very big, very prosperous, all kinds of opportunities keep coming out, but when we look forward, we will find that the whole Internet is facing great challenges. After 18 years of PC Internet and only four years of mobile Internet, many people are already feeling the pressure of growth.
Data of different dimensions used by Li as evidence include: The average life cycle of APP is less than 10 months, the growth rate of the mobile Internet market scale decreases by 1/3, the smartphone shipments in China are stagnant in the first quarter of 2016, conflicts of interests in the private car industry, the mobile reading market scale only grows by 14.3% year on year, the cost of mobile traffic acquisition remains high, and the mobile Internet user scale is expected to grow by only 5%…. in 2016 .
It is not difficult to see that mobile Internet has become the next step of the New momentum of the Internet. Robin Li, who raised the question, also gave his own answer: “The country depends on ‘Internet plus’ to maintain growth, what does the Internet depend on? The growth of the mobile Internet is already seeing bottlenecks. In recent years, two words are very hot, one is big data, the other is cloud computing, but I think, the next scene of the Internet is not big data, nor cloud computing, my answer is artificial intelligence. Ai will enable the Internet to enter the third act of development and usher in the era of intelligent Internet.”
How artificial intelligence can take on new kinetic energy
At present, the mobile Internet, big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence are all hot, hard to distinguish, why Robin Li “unique” artificial intelligence?
To this end, Li reviewed the development of ARTIFICIAL intelligence over the past 60 years. Li believes that 2006 is a turning point for artificial intelligence, “because the amount of data is getting bigger and bigger, the computing power is getting stronger and cheaper, so those algorithms that were not practical in the past gradually entered the practical stage after 2006.” In 2015, artificial intelligence (AI) has become a hot topic, and the man-machine game of Go at the beginning of this year accelerated the popularization of AI education. “Without the ability of ARTIFICIAL intelligence, the Internet of Things and the Internet will not have a fundamental impact on a manufacturing powerhouse like China. But with AI, it can have a huge impact on almost every area of manufacturing.”
In the context of continuous breakthroughs in ARTIFICIAL intelligence technology and continuous emergence of product innovation, Robin Li believes that there are two possibilities of “ARTIFICIAL intelligence + traditional industry” in the future. One possibility is that ARTIFICIAL intelligence will replace many simple mental work; One is the deep integration of artificial intelligence with all walks of life to realize the reconstruction of traditional industries, so that the mobile Internet can realize the qualitative change from “improving efficiency” to “reconstructing industry”. In this regard, Robin Li took the application of ARTIFICIAL intelligence in financial credit investigation as an example to show its subversive influence. “Our Baidu education loan basically decides whether to give a loan to a person in seconds, but in the past, I’m afraid it was measured in days. “Baidu’s driverless cars can accelerate, merge and overtake like normal vehicles, and self-driving cars will definitely become a reality in a few years.”
Baidu to open deep learning ‘source code’
According to public information, Baidu set up a deep Learning research institute in early 2013, making it the first Chinese enterprise to conduct ai research.
Talking about baidu’s latest progress in the field of deep learning, Li revealed that deep learning has been very accurate in the application of speech, and baidu’s speech recognition accuracy has reached 97%. In addition, today’s Baidu image recognition is also very different from the past year. If you take a common picture with a mobile phone, THE ARTIFICIAL intelligence can not only answer what color is in the picture, but also realize more rounds of interaction and accept questions based on the previous context just like people.
The next step in voice and image recognition is “synthesis”, li said: “Once image synthesis is achieved, the way actors and celebrities play movies will change. As long as they authorize it and don’t actually act it, we can synthesize his various words and actions. In the past, a big shot made two or three plays a year. In the future, he could make two or three thousand. The possibilities are endless when applied to any field.”
Giiso information, founded in 2013, is the first domestic high-tech enterprise focusing on the research and development of intelligent information processing technology and the development and operation of core software for writing robots. At the beginning of its establishment, the company received angel round investment, and in August 2015, GSR Venture Capital received $5 million pre-A round of investment.
As a leader, in addition to establishing the direction, but also shoulder social responsibilities. “A lot of technology, I want to say is, these techniques not only belongs to baidu, baidu these technologies are completely open, even we will soon bring us deep learning open source, takes a look at exactly how these things are done, you can even on this basis the corresponding improvements. In this way, AI can quickly permeate all industries and change our society.”
There are also concerns that ai, which is rapidly evolving, could pose a threat to human beings. I think what AI will do is liberate mankind. At least in my lifetime, it won’t destroy mankind.”